The median sales price by year has been on an upward trend since 2013.
This report will look at the market from a variety of angles, including annual, quarterly and monthly data. Because of the large shifts in the market that occurred between the 1st and 2nd halves of the year, annual data will often changes that occurred with the calendar year. For a deeper dive into real-time market dynamics, a median price quarterly chart is provided below.
Q4 2022's median single family home price is roughly about the same price as Q1 2020, right before the pandemic was declared.
In 2022, the market peaked after a dramatic 10-year upcycle supercharged at its end by the pandemic boom. The market saw a dramatic shift in spring 2022 when it cooled significantly, prompted by a number of economic factors - especially inflation and interest rates, and financial markets. This played out in substantial declines in sales volumes, median sales prices, appreciation rates, and virtually all the standard measurements of buyer demand.
However, some buyers are making the best deals in years. For sellers, pricing, preparation and marketing are now critical. Tens of thousands of Bay Area homes continued to sell in the second half on 2022 and a considerable, but lower percentage still sold quickly at over asking price. On the other hand, buyers shouldn’t hesitate to negotiate aggressively, especially on homes with longer days-on-market.
The early spring market – which, weather cooperating, can begin as early as February in the Bay Area – would typically provide the next major indicator of market direction, but developments may occur sooner to provide increased clarity regarding what awaits us in 2023. For the time being, the market remains in a period of adjustment, with major macroeconomic conditions still in flux.